SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
| 37.97% | 27.3% | 34.74% |
| Both teams to score 49.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% | 55.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% | 76.78% |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.87% | 64.12% |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% | 30.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.45% | 66.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.73% |
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