Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.