Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
