Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
Result | ||
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
32.67% | 28.54% | 38.79% |
Both teams to score 45.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.52% | 60.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.4% | 80.6% |
Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% | 34.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% | 70.93% |
Rostov Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% | 30.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% | 66.43% |
Score Analysis |
Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Rostov |
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.3% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 7.4% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.79% |
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