Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.
