Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.