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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 7, 2020 at 4pm UK
Fisht Olympic Stadium

Sochi
2 - 0
Akhmat Grozny

Dugandzic (31'), Yusupov (45+3')
Dugandzic (43'), Mammana (49'), Margasov (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nenakhov (41')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Akhmat Grozny.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
SochiDrawAkhmat Grozny
36.75%26.8%36.46%
Both teams to score 51.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46%53.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95%75.05%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91%28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24%63.76%
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73%28.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02%63.98%
Score Analysis
    Sochi 36.74%
    Akhmat Grozny 36.45%
    Draw 26.79%
SochiDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.45%

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