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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2020 at 12pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium

Zenit
3 - 1
Sochi

Karavayev (16'), Erokhin (24'), Santos (90+3')
Rakitskiy (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zaika (57')
Mammana (23'), Zaika (73'), Yusupov (90+5')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Sochi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 13.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSochi
66.92%19.81%13.28%
Both teams to score 47.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13%45.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82%68.18%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23%12.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.95%39.05%
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.51%45.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.68%81.32%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 66.91%
    Sochi 13.28%
    Draw 19.81%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSochi
2-0 @ 12.3%
1-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 6.65%
4-0 @ 4.34%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.62%
5-0 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 66.91%
1-1 @ 9.42%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 19.81%
0-1 @ 4.58%
1-2 @ 3.71%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 13.28%


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