Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.