Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 25.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
