Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 52.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for FC Tambov had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a FC Tambov win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.