Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mohammed Saeed Al Muwallad (35'), Alberto Lobo Mendonca (36'), Hassan Mushaib Al Zabdani (54'), Awadh Al Yami (88+88')
We said: Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Okhdood
While Al-Ahli have hit the ground running in the new campaign, Al Okhdood have struggled to get going as they make their first-ever appearance in the top flight. Jaissle's have been one of the more active sides in the window and we fancy them cruising to a comfortable victory against the inexperienced visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.
| Result |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Okhdood |
51.19% ( -0.41) | 26.29% ( 0.18) | 22.52% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( -0.2) |
| 42.39% ( -0.4) | 57.61% ( 0.41) |
| 21.62% ( -0.32) | 78.38% ( 0.32) |
| 77.39% ( -0.35) | 22.61% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.77% ( -0.52) | 56.23% ( 0.53) |
| 58.89% ( 0.01) | 41.11% ( -0.01) |
