SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for an Al Raed win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Raed |
67.74% ( 0.49) | 18.78% ( -0.08) | 13.49% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.57) | 40.76% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( -0.59) | 63.15% ( 0.59) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.03) | 11.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.59% ( -0.08) | 35.41% ( 0.08) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( -0.96) | 41.96% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% ( -0.85) | 78.4% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Raed |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.02% Total : 67.72% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.78% | 0-1 @ 4.03% 1-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.51% Total : 13.49% |
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