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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mohammed Bin Saud Al-Qasimi Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 0
Al-Ahli


Al Fahad (63'), Al-Subaie (80')
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Raed
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 5-1 Abha
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Raed 1-2 Al-Ahli

Despite neither side requiring a result on Thursday, Al-Ahli are backed to get the better of their hosts, who have struggled for consistency for nearly the season's entirety. The away side's individual quality and slightly superior momentum give them the edge against bottom-half Al Raed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
16.79% (0.263 0.26) 21.23% (0.186 0.19) 61.98% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 51.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.344 -0.34)45.07% (0.344 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.332 -0.33)67.42% (0.331 0.33)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.121 0.12)40.15% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.111 0.11)76.79% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (-0.248 -0.25)13.99% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (-0.491 -0.49)41.5% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 16.79%
    Al-Ahli 61.97%
    Draw 21.23%
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.092 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.34% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.79%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.23%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 61.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Raed
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 1-1 Al Tai
Saturday, May 11 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 2-0 Al Raed
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 2-2 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, April 27 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 2-0 Al Hazem
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 5-1 Abha
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Ahli
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Ahli
Thursday, April 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League


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