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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Wahda

Mahrez (55')
Majrashi (42'), Kessie (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bacuna (57')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Wahda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, November 22 at 2.50pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-0 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, November 23 at 3.15pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 75.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 9.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Wahda
75.04% (0.295 0.3) 15.69% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 9.28% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 47.93% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.01% (-0.314 -0.31)38% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.75% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)60.26% (0.337 0.34)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)8.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.38% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)29.63% (0.026 0.03)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (-0.657 -0.66)47.58% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.08% (-0.493 -0.49)82.92% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 75.02%
    Al Wahda 9.28%
    Draw 15.69%
Al-AhliDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 10.07% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.139 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.19% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.04% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 75.02%
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 15.69%
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 9.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, November 22 at 2.50pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 2-0 Al Raed
Friday, November 8 at 3.20pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-0 Al-Ahli
Thursday, October 31 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-3 Al-Ahli
Friday, October 18 at 3.45pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-0 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, November 23 at 3.15pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 2-3 Damac
Saturday, November 9 at 3.15pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 3-1 Al Wahda
Thursday, October 31 at 2.50pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-3 Al Khaleej
Thursday, October 24 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Raed 2-2 Al Wahda
Saturday, October 19 at 4.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 2-2 Al Fayha
Thursday, October 3 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League


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