Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 75.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Wahda |
75.04% ( 0.3) | 15.69% ( -0.08) | 9.28% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47.93% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.01% ( -0.31) | 38% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.75% ( -0.34) | 60.26% ( 0.34) |
Al-Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.43% ( -0.01) | 8.57% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.38% ( -0.02) | 29.63% ( 0.03) |
Al Wahda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.43% ( -0.66) | 47.58% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.08% ( -0.49) | 82.92% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Wahda |
2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 75.02% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 15.69% | 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 9.28% |
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