Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for Al Fayha had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Al Fayha win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Ahli |
23.44% ( 0.28) | 23.04% ( -0.02) | 53.51% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.16% ( 0.38) | 43.84% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.77% ( 0.37) | 66.22% ( -0.37) |
Al Fayha Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( 0.46) | 32.57% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.89% ( 0.51) | 69.11% ( -0.51) |
Al-Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% ( 0.05) | 16.34% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.05% ( 0.08) | 45.95% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Al Fayha | Draw | Al-Ahli |
2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.44% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 53.51% |
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