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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Al Fateh Club Stadium

Al Fateh
1 - 0
Al Ettifaq

Zelarayan (80')
Baattia (63'), Zelarayan (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 2-3 Al Fateh
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Fateh 1-1 Al Ettifaq

While Al Ettifaq showed excellent fighting spirit against Al Ahli last time out, that performance would have taken a lot out of them, and the short turnaround time to this match is far from ideal. In addition, they are missing a couple of key attacking players in Gray and Fofana, the latter of whom has been instrumental in recent weeks. The hosts got a morale-boosting win over the weekend and we feel they will take something from this match as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl Ettifaq
28.54% (0.462 0.46) 25.17% (0.136 0.14) 46.29% (-0.597 -0.6)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (-0.301 -0.3)48.97% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (-0.273 -0.27)71.06% (0.274 0.27)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (0.187 0.19)31.23% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42% (0.217 0.22)67.58% (-0.21600000000001 -0.22)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (-0.386 -0.39)21.18% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (-0.601 -0.6)54.05% (0.602 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 28.54%
    Al Ettifaq 46.28%
    Draw 25.16%
Al FatehDrawAl Ettifaq
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.7% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.082 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.12% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Wahda 2-3 Al Fateh
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-2 Al Khaleej
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Damac
Friday, February 23 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 3-0 Abha
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, February 26 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, February 15 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League


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