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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 22
Mar 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 1
Al Fateh

Saint-Maximin (75')
Ibanez (10'), Kessie (63')
Ibanez (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tello (45+8')
Al-Najdi (27'), Baattia (41'), Lajami (90+9')
Baattia (89')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Fateh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Tai 1-4 Al-Ahli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Damac
Friday, February 23 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Fateh
63.94% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 20.78% (0.142 0.14) 15.28% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.57% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-0.691 -0.69)45.89% (0.696 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-0.66 -0.66)68.2% (0.663 0.66)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (-0.244 -0.24)13.65% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.16% (-0.492 -0.49)40.84% (0.495 0.5)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-0.479 -0.48)42.6% (0.482 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-0.412 -0.41)78.95% (0.416 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 63.93%
    Al Fateh 15.28%
    Draw 20.78%
Al-AhliDrawAl Fateh
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 11.52% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.65% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.53% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 63.93%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.78%
0-1 @ 4.96% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Al Tai 1-4 Al-Ahli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 3-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-0 Al Khaleej
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 0-4 Al-Ahli
Friday, December 22 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-4 Al-Ahli
Thursday, December 14 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-0 Al Raed
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Damac
Friday, February 23 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 0-0 Al Okhdood
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 1-3 Al Fateh
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Al Shabab
Friday, December 15 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 2-0 Al Fateh
Thursday, December 7 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League


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