Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Fateh |
63.94% ( -0.09) | 20.78% ( 0.14) | 15.28% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.57% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% ( -0.69) | 45.89% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.8% ( -0.66) | 68.2% ( 0.66) |
Al-Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.35% ( -0.24) | 13.65% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.16% ( -0.49) | 40.84% ( 0.5) |
Al Fateh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.4% ( -0.48) | 42.6% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.05% ( -0.41) | 78.95% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Fateh |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 63.93% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.78% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.28% |
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