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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
2 - 2
Al-Ahli

Fofana (45+3'), Albirakan (49' og.)
Dembele (60'), Al Ghannam (68'), Ahmed Khateeb (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Albirakan (8'), Al-Ammar (88')
Al-Asmari (30'), Alnabit (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al-Ahli

Both these sides come into this match carrying decent form since the New Year and are in need of all three points. Despite the gap in the table, these teams are very closely matched on paper and, like the reverse fixture, we feel there will be nothing to separate them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Ahli
27.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 23.92% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 48.97% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.47% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)66.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.012 -0.01)29.96% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)66.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.27% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (0.060000000000002 0.06)49.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 27.1%
    Al-Ahli 48.97%
    Draw 23.92%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 48.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 3-0 Abha
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, February 26 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, February 15 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Hazem
Thursday, December 28 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-1 Al-Ahli
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Tai 1-4 Al-Ahli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 3-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-0 Al Khaleej
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League


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