SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al Ittihad |
32.41% ( -0.03) | 23.81% ( -0.01) | 43.77% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.01% ( 0.06) | 40.99% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.06) | 63.38% ( -0.06) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( 0.01) | 59.2% ( -0.02) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( 0.04) | 19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( 0.07) | 50.56% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.41% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 43.77% |
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