SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Fayha |
71.34% ( 0.04) | 16.69% ( 0) | 11.97% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.44% ( -0.12) | 34.56% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.5% ( -0.14) | 56.5% ( 0.14) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( -0.02) | 8.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.43% ( -0.05) | 29.57% ( 0.05) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.75% ( -0.15) | 40.25% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.12% ( -0.14) | 76.88% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Fayha |
| 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.58% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.06% 6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 71.34% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.69% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 11.97% |
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