SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 82.88%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 6.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.8%) and 4-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.91%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Okhdood |
82.88% ( 2.11) | 10.22% ( -0.74) | 6.9% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -4.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.75% ( -1.4) | 17.25% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.93% ( -2.14) | 34.07% ( 2.13) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.95% ( -0) | 3.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.31% ( -0) | 13.68% ( 0) |
| Al Okhdood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% ( -4.39) | 36.12% ( 4.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% ( -4.75) | 72.9% ( 4.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Okhdood |
| 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.95)4-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.83)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.82)5-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.58)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.47)1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.47)4-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.41)6-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.34)5-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.29)6-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.17)7-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.17)4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.31)Other @ 5.36% Total : 82.88% | 1-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.4)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.35)0-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.35% Total : 10.22% | 1-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.31)0-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 6.9% |
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