SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 88.07%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 3.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.91%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (1.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Raed |
88.07% ( 0.1) | 8.32% ( -0) | 3.61% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.69% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.77) | 24.66% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.53% ( -1.02) | 44.47% ( 1.01) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.45% ( -0.11) | 3.55% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 84.61% ( -0.34) | 15.38% ( 0.34) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.3% ( -1.2) | 54.7% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.3% ( -0.74) | 87.7% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Raed |
| 3-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.36)4-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 3.74% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.11)7-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)7-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.99% Total : 88.06% | 1-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.5% Total : 8.32% | 1-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.26% Total : 3.61% |
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