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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Hamdallah (7')
Al-Juwayr (16'), Hoedt (32'), Al-Sharari (49')
Al-Sharari (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milinkovic-Savic (15', 62')
Tambakti (90+6')
Koulibaly (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-1 Al Shabab
Friday, November 22 at 3.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 3-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, November 23 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al Shabab have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks but are in for a tough 90 minutes against a star-studded Al-Hilal side who are unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 clashes.  Given the gulf in class and quality between the two teams, we are backing Jesus's men to come away with all three points at the Al-Shabab Club Stadium.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
25.93% (-0.838 -0.84) 20.68% (-0.203 -0.2) 53.38% (1.039 1.04)
Both teams to score 67.92% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.01% (0.23399999999999 0.23)29.99% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.82% (0.28100000000001 0.28)51.18% (-0.281 -0.28)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.419 -0.42)23.15% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.618 -0.62)57.03% (0.617 0.62)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.37 0.37)11.61% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.39% (0.795 0.8)36.61% (-0.795 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 25.93%
    Al-Hilal 53.38%
    Draw 20.68%
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 6.19% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-0 @ 3.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.4% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.93%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.55% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.79% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.115 0.12)
2-4 @ 2.58% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.107 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.52% (0.071 0.07)
3-4 @ 1.26% (0.011 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.11% (0.039 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-1 Al Shabab
Friday, November 22 at 3.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Kholood 0-2 Al Shabab
Thursday, November 7 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 3-1 Al Wahda
Thursday, October 31 at 2.50pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Orubah 0-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, October 24 at 4.15pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Nassr
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 1-0 Al Shabab
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 3-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, November 23 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, November 8 at 2.45pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Hilal
Friday, November 1 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ain 4-5 Al-Hilal
Monday, October 21 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al Fayha
Friday, October 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League


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