Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.38%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
Result | ||
Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Hilal |
25.93% ( -0.84) | 20.68% ( -0.2) | 53.38% ( 1.04) |
Both teams to score 67.92% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.01% ( 0.23) | 29.99% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.82% ( 0.28) | 51.18% ( -0.28) |
Al Shabab Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( -0.42) | 23.15% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( -0.62) | 57.03% ( 0.62) |
Al-Hilal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.39% ( 0.37) | 11.61% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.39% ( 0.8) | 36.61% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Hilal |
2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.93% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 3.52% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.38% |
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