SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
70.6% ( 0.29) | 16.41% ( 0.12) | 12.99% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.72% ( -1.69) | 30.28% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.47% ( -2.06) | 51.53% ( 2.06) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.35% ( -0.36) | 7.65% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.69% ( -0.92) | 27.3% ( 0.92) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -1.74) | 35.75% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( -1.84) | 72.52% ( 1.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.32)1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.54)4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.13)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.05% Total : 70.6% | 1-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.26% Total : 16.41% | 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.1% Total : 12.99% |
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