Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
We said: Al Raed 0-2 Al-Hilal
While the visitors did drop points in their last match, they were by far the more dominant side in the match, and we expect them to dictate this one as well. The hosts were very poor in their first two matches, and with very little threat shown in attack, we feel they may suffer their third consecutive shutout in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Raed | Draw | Al-Hilal |
11.28% ( 0.07) | 17.97% ( 0.02) | 70.74% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.45% ( 0.16) |
| 57.31% ( 0.09) | 42.69% ( -0.09) |
| 34.91% ( 0.08) | 65.09% ( -0.09) |
| 53.2% ( 0.18) | 46.79% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.67% ( 0.14) | 82.33% ( -0.14) |
| 89.18% ( -0) | 10.81% ( 0) |
