SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
50.4% ( -0.39) | 23.49% ( 0.29) | 26.1% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -1.25) | 43.34% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% ( -1.24) | 65.73% ( 1.24) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( -0.61) | 17.29% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( -1.08) | 47.63% ( 1.08) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( -0.59) | 30.13% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( -0.71) | 66.28% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 26.1% |
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