Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
