Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
