SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Raed win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Raed win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Raed would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Hazem |
40.18% ( -0.32) | 25.6% ( 0.07) | 34.22% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.27) | 48.65% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.24) | 70.76% ( 0.24) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( -0.28) | 23.94% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% ( -0.4) | 58.16% ( 0.4) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( 0.02) | 27.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( 0.03) | 62.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Hazem |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 34.22% |
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