SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Taawoun would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al Hazem |
49.16% ( -0.13) | 23.38% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.41% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( 0.02) | 41.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( 0.02) | 64.14% ( -0.02) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( -0.04) | 17.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.61% ( -0.07) | 47.38% ( 0.07) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( 0.09) | 28.28% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( 0.12) | 64% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al Hazem |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 4.01% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.45% |
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