SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Raed win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Raed win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Raed |
36.64% ( -0.09) | 26.42% ( -0.05) | 36.94% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.19) | 51.96% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.16) | 73.7% ( -0.17) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( 0.03) | 27.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( 0.05) | 62.88% ( -0.05) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( 0.17) | 27.23% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( 0.22) | 62.65% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Raed |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.94% |
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