Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Foolad had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Foolad win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Al-Hilal in this match.
