SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Al-Hilal |
43.8% ( 0.25) | 24.63% ( -0.43) | 31.57% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( 1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( 2.01) | 45.14% ( -2.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( 1.89) | 67.48% ( -1.9) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( 0.95) | 20.7% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( 1.48) | 53.3% ( -1.48) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( 1.11) | 27.21% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.37% ( 1.42) | 62.63% ( -1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.5)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 3% Total : 31.57% |
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