SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Raed win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Al Orubah had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Raed win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Al Orubah win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Raed would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Orubah |
40.23% ( -0.14) | 26.72% ( 0.08) | 33.05% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( -0.31) | 53.58% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( -0.27) | 75.09% ( 0.26) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.22) | 26.15% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( -0.29) | 61.22% ( 0.29) |
| Al Orubah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( -0.12) | 30.43% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( -0.14) | 66.63% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Orubah |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.23% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.05% |
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