Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium
Fouzair (17', 45+2'),
Sayoud (68')
Al Doseri (76'), Al-Jayzani (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
We said: Al Raed 0-1 Al Riyadh
While there was little that Al Riyadh could do to stop a star-studded Al-Ittihad side last Thursday, they will be backing themselves to bounce back against a floundering Al Raed who have lost their last five matches across all competitions. We predict a cagey affair at the King Abdullah Sport City Stadium with the visitors coming away with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 60.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Al Raed | Draw | Al Riyadh |
17.55% ( -0.16) | 21.57% ( -0.07) | 60.89% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.09) |
| 54.77% ( 0.04) | 45.23% ( -0.03) |
| 32.43% ( 0.04) | 67.57% ( -0.03) |
| 60.67% ( -0.17) | 39.33% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0.16) | 76.03% ( 0.17) |
| 85.62% ( 0.09) | 14.38% ( -0.08) |
