SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Al Tai had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Al Tai win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Tai | Draw | Al Riyadh |
34.31% ( 0.07) | 26.92% ( -0.04) | 38.77% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( 0.18) | 54.18% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( 0.15) | 75.59% ( -0.15) |
| Al Tai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( 0.13) | 29.91% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% ( 0.16) | 66.01% ( -0.16) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.77% ( 0.07) | 27.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.35% ( 0.09) | 62.65% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Tai | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 38.77% |
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