SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Abha win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Abha win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Abha | Draw | Al Riyadh |
43.09% ( 0.36) | 24.78% ( -0.11) | 32.13% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.42% ( 0.42) | 45.58% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( 0.4) | 67.91% ( -0.4) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.35) | 21.2% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% ( 0.53) | 54.09% ( -0.53) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( 0.05) | 27.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( 0.06) | 62.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Abha | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.13% |
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