SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Fayha |
33.34% ( 0.11) | 27.18% ( -0.18) | 39.48% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% ( 0.7) | 55.36% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.44% ( 0.57) | 76.56% ( -0.58) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 0.43) | 31.13% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( 0.5) | 67.46% ( -0.5) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( 0.37) | 27.39% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( 0.48) | 62.86% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al Fayha |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.48% |
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