SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.15%) and 0-3 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for an Al Tai win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Tai | Draw | Al-Nassr |
9.4% ( 0.1) | 17.07% ( 0.17) | 73.53% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.88% ( -0.43) | 44.12% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.5% ( -0.42) | 66.5% ( 0.42) |
| Al Tai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.59% ( -0.07) | 51.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.38% ( -0.05) | 85.61% ( 0.04) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.51% ( -0.18) | 10.48% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.87% ( -0.41) | 34.13% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Tai | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 1-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 9.4% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 17.07% | 0-2 @ 13.7% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 10.3% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 5.81% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 73.51% |
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