SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al Riyadh |
55.96% ( -0.23) | 21.92% ( 0.07) | 22.12% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.14) | 40.23% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.14) | 62.6% ( 0.14) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( -0.12) | 14.27% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( -0.23) | 42.05% ( 0.23) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( 0.07) | 31.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( 0.08) | 68.16% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.96% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.12% |
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