SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Riyadh |
66.92% ( -0.56) | 19.62% ( 0.15) | 13.46% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.63% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.23) | 44.68% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( 0.22) | 67.04% ( -0.22) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( -0.09) | 12.41% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.68% ( -0.19) | 38.32% ( 0.18) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.53% ( 0.76) | 44.47% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.49% ( 0.61) | 80.51% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 66.9% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.62% | 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.3% Total : 13.46% |
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