SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 13.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 2-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al-Nassr |
13.19% ( 0.05) | 18.22% ( 0.02) | 68.58% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( 0.01) | 38.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( 0.01) | 61.18% ( -0.01) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( 0.08) | 41.18% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.28% ( 0.07) | 77.72% ( -0.07) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( -0.02) | 10.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.24% ( -0.04) | 33.75% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.19% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.22% | 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 4.54% Total : 68.58% |
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