SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.82%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Riyadh |
73.82% ( -1.76) | 16% ( 0.84) | 10.19% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.52% ( -1.16) | 36.48% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.38% ( -1.27) | 58.62% ( 1.27) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.52% ( -0.66) | 8.47% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.61% ( -1.65) | 29.39% ( 1.65) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.3% ( 1.04) | 44.69% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( 0.83) | 80.69% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Riyadh |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.38)1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.43)4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.31)5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 73.81% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.94% Total : 16% | 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
