SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Al Wahda had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Al Wahda win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Damac would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Damac | Draw | Al Wahda |
48.23% ( -3.76) | 24.18% ( 1.1) | 27.59% ( 2.67) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( -2.74) | 45.25% ( 2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -2.68) | 67.6% ( 2.68) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( -2.46) | 18.86% ( 2.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.67% ( -4.27) | 50.33% ( 4.27) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( 0.62) | 30% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( 0.73) | 66.12% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Damac | Draw | Al Wahda |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.58)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.57)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.45)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.28% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.64)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.48) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.87)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.58)1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.26)Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.59% |
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