SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Al Tai had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Al Tai win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Damac would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Damac | Draw | Al Tai |
52.7% ( 0.21) | 23.1% ( -0.13) | 24.21% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.73% ( 0.5) | 43.27% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.33% ( 0.5) | 65.67% ( -0.49) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% ( 0.26) | 16.43% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.9% ( 0.47) | 46.1% ( -0.46) |
| Al Tai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( 0.21) | 31.61% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( 0.24) | 68.02% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Damac | Draw | Al Tai |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.21% |
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