SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Wahda |
64.6% ( -0.96) | 20.13% ( 0.55) | 15.26% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( -1.63) | 43.08% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( -1.63) | 65.48% ( 1.63) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( -0.75) | 12.59% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.31% ( -1.58) | 38.68% ( 1.58) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.1% ( -0.45) | 40.9% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.53% ( -0.41) | 77.47% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Wahda |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.29% Total : 64.59% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 15.26% |
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