Alloa
2 - 5
Raith Rovers

Buchanan (75', 89')
Cawley (15'), O'Donnel (58')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Duku (17'), Armstrong (33'), Lokotsch (84'), Ross (90', 90+3')
Benedictus (41'), Tait (52')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

Ethan Ross doubles up as Raith win seven-goal thriller at Alloa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Raith Rovers
23.93%	23.89%	52.18%

Both teams to score 54.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.98%

47.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.74%

69.26%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.44%

70.56%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82%

18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14%

48.86%

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 23.93%

Raith Rovers 52.18%

Draw 23.88%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.24% Total : 23.93%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.88%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 8.97% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.18%