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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
GM

Raith Rovers
5 - 0
Morton

Armstrong (20' pen.), Musonda (24'), Matthews (48', 54'), Mendy (82')
Tumilty (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Blues (62'), Omar (73')
McGinty (33')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawGreenock Morton
56.48%22.05%21.47%
Both teams to score 57.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33%41.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.93%64.07%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41%14.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.33%42.67%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85%33.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25%69.74%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 56.48%
    Greenock Morton 21.47%
    Draw 22.05%
Raith RoversDrawGreenock Morton
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 6.35%
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.48%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 5.46%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 5.68%
0-1 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 21.47%


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