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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
Caledonian Stadium
RR

Inverness
2 - 0
Raith Rovers

Keatings (19'), Allardice (68')
Allardice (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Armstrong (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawRaith Rovers
44.38%25.78%29.85%
Both teams to score 53.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18%50.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29%72.71%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17%22.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45%56.55%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77%31.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42%67.58%
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 44.37%
    Raith Rovers 29.85%
    Draw 25.77%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.85%


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