Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
