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A
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
HL

Arbroath
4 - 0
Hamilton

Stewart (45+2'), McKenna (57'), Nouble (80'), Low (85')
Henderson (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamilton (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawHamilton Academical
33.01%26.43%40.56%
Both teams to score 52.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12%29.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02%65.98%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73%60.27%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 33.01%
    Hamilton Academical 40.56%
    Draw 26.43%
ArbroathDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.01%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 7.12%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 40.56%

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